In this blog I want to talk about a topic fact that already came up in one of our presentations on Monday, concerning the water shortage of the future. In one scenario the group assumed a nuclear war destroying the world even before essential resources like water are totally exhausted.
I was thinking about the question, if this is an exaggeration, or not?
If we think about the motives and consequences of the Iraq-war, which are mainly rooted in the sources of oil, what will happen when a drastic lack of essential water occurs?
Compared to fresh water, oil can be replaced “easily”, especially with regard to its utilisation. As I mentioned before and everybody knows, water is needed for humanity to survive but oil is basically “only” to maintain our wealth and luxury, to drive a car or to have electricity.
With regard to China a water shortage in the future is very likely and as we heard in the lecture today one opportunity would be to import fresh water from other countries.
But how likely is it that China would betake itself in such a dependency?
And what is more, where would such a dependency between countries, or even between superpowers lead to?
The other opportunity would be to force other countries in a military way to be adequately supplied with water.
Assuming the situation in other countries would probably be almost the same, I think it would be very hard to overcome such an extreme situation peacefully.
Nevertheless, to avoid this bad scenario I would like to mention a book “Powerdown” I found on the internet. The author Richard Heinberg writes in this book about options to prevent catastrophes caused by the lack of resources.